Measuring the Effects of Globalization
February 28–March 1

Location: Sphinx Club
1315 K Street NW
Washington, DC 20005

Agenda

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 28

8:30-9:00 – COFFEE AND PASTRIES

9:00-9:15 – Opening remarks: Erica Groshen, Commissioner, Bureau of Labor Statistics

9:15-10:45 – SESSION I: Biases to Manufacturing Statistics from Trade—Evidence and Response

Chair: Robert Atkinson (Information Technology and Innovation Foundation and Brookings)
  1. Measuring Manufacturing: How the Computer and Semiconductor Industries Affect the Numbers and Perceptions, Susan Houseman (Upjohn Institute), Timothy Bartik (Upjohn Institute), and Timothy Sturgeon (MIT)
  2. Import sourcing bias in manufacturing productivity growth – evidence across advanced and emerging economies, Robert Inklaar (University of Groningen)
  3. Producing an Input Price Index Bill Alterman (BLS)
Discussant: Ana Aizcorbe (BEA)

10:45-11:00 – BREAK

11:00-12:30 – SESSION II: Price Issues—Theory

Chair: Michael Horrigan (BLS)
  1. Sourcing Substitution and Related Price Index Biases, Alice Nakamura (U. of Alberta), W. Erwin Diewert (U. of British Columbia and U. of New South Wales), John S. Greenlees (BLS - retired), Leonard I. Nakamura (Federal REserve Bank of Philadelphia), and Marshall B. Reinsdorf (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis)
  2. Price dispersion and price dynamics when it is costly to switch suppliers: A quantitative example, Brian Kovak (Carnegie Mellon U.) and Ryan Michaels (Rochester U.)
  3. Specific Trade Costs, Quality and Import Prices, Benjamin Bridgman (BEA)
Discussant: John Greenlees (BLS)

12:30-1:30 – LUNCH

1:30-3:30 – SESSION III: Measuring Import Use, Prices, and Competitiveness

Chair: John Ruser (BLS)
  1. Offshoring bias in Japan’s manufacturing sector, Kyoji Fukao (Hitotsubashi University) and Sonoe Arai (METI)
  2. Imports and Estimates of Industry Growth and Productivity, Thomas F. Howells III, Matthew Russell, Jon D. Samuels, and Erich H. Strassner (BEA)
  3. A Test of Hedonic Price Indexes for Imports, Mina Kim (BLS) and Marshall Reinsdorf (BEA)
  4. Constructing competitiveness measures, James Thomas (BLS)
Discussants: Ron Jarmin (Census Bureau), Brian Kovak (Carnegie Mellon U.)

3:30-3:45 – BREAK


3:45-5:15 – SESSION IV: Factoryless Manufacturing

Chair: Sarahelen Thompson (BEA)
  1. Reflecting Factoryless Goods Production in the U.S. Statistical System, Maureen Doherty, BLS
  2. Measuring ‘Factoryless’ Manufacturing: Evidence from U.S. Surveys, Fariha Kamal (Census), Brent Moulton (BEA), Jennifer Ribarsky (BEA)
  3. The Scope of U.S. Factoryless Manufacturing, Kimberly Bayard, David Byrne, and Dominic Smith (Federal Reserve Board)
Discussant: William Powers (International Trade Commission)

FRIDAY MARCH 1

8:30-9:00 – COFFEE AND PASTRIES

9:00-10:30 – SESSION V: Trade in Value-Added

Chair: Susan Houseman (Upjohn Institute)
  1. Fragmentation, Incomes and Jobs. An analysis of European competitiveness, Marcel Timmer (U. of Groningen), Bart Los (U. of Groningen), Robert Stehrer (WIIW, Vienna), and Gaaitzen de Vries (U. of Groningen)
  2. Measuring Trade in Value Added, and Beyond, Nadim Ahmad (OECD)
  3. Import Uses and Domestic Value Added in Chinese Exports: What can we learn from Chinese micro data?, Shinli Yao (University of International Business and Economics), Hong Ma (Tsinghua University), and Jiansuo Pei (University of International Business and Economics)
Discussant: Robert Koopman (International Trade Commission)

10:30-10:45 – BREAK

10:45-12:15 – SESSION VI: Services and Intangibles

Chair: Richard Brown (USITC)
  1. Internationalization of Intangibles, Carol Corrado (Conference Board and Georgetown University) and Charles Hulten (U. of Maryland)
  2. A Formulary Approach for Attributing Measured Output to Foreign Affiliates of U.S. Parents, Dylan Rassier and Jennifer Koncz-Bruner (BEA)
  3. Data, trade, and growth, Michael Mandel (Progressive Policy Institute)
Discussant: Brad Jensen (Georgetown U.)

12:15-2:00 – LUNCH AND SUMMARY PANEL DISCUSSION

Panel members: Steven Landefeld (BEA), Michael Horrigan (BLS), Shirin Ahmed (Census), Marcel Timmer (U. of Groningen), and Michael Mandel (Progressive Policy Institute)


The Alfred P. Sloan Foundation provided generous support for this conference.